Massachusetts politics is already heating up — even with the midterm elections still more than a year away. A new poll has sparked conversations across the state’s political circles, showing Rep. Seth Moulton with a surprising early lead over Sen. Ed Markey in a hypothetical Democratic primary matchup.
The poll results have fueled growing speculation about the next election cycle, particularly around two major storylines: Governor Maura Healey’s reelection prospects and whether Markey might face a serious challenger within his own party.
Markey, a long-time progressive fixture in Massachusetts politics, secured a decisive victory in his last primary against Rep. Joe Kennedy III in 2020. Since then, he has continued to champion climate action and progressive policies on Capitol Hill. However, Moulton — a former Marine and current U.S. Representative — has steadily built his profile, often positioning himself as a pragmatic voice on national security and government reform.
While no official announcements have been made, the poll suggests that a Markey–Moulton showdown could become one of the most closely watched Democratic primaries in the country. Insiders say that if Moulton decides to enter the race, it could set up a dynamic contest between two distinct wings of the party: the progressive base versus a more centrist, change-oriented approach.
As speculation grows, all eyes are now on both camps. Will Markey seek to shore up his support early, or will Moulton make a bold move to test the waters? With more than a year until voters cast their ballots, the political landscape in Massachusetts is already taking shape — and this potential primary could redefine the state’s Democratic future.